---
title: Andrew Mount's Aintree Angles Day 1
description: Form expert Andrew Mount talks about the Thursday of the Aintree Grand National Festival.
---

[Horse Racing ](https://www.simonnott.co.uk/blog-racing)

# [Andrew Mount's Aintree Angles Day 1](https://www.simonnott.co.uk/blog-racing/andrew-mounts-aintree-angles-day-1)

 Written by [Simon Nott](https://www.simonnott.co.uk/blog-racing/author/simon-nott) | 4/2/26 7:58 AM

 

 

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**Aintree Day 1 stats**

**Cheltenham festival impact**

**Finished first or second in non-handicap company at the Cheltenham festival**

Since 2018, backing runners at Aintree’s Grand National meeting who finished first or second in a non-handicap at the Cheltenham festival would have found 27 winners from 74 bets (37.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £16.37 to a £1 level stake at SP…

…those who had been rested for 30 days or longer were nine from 20 (+£14.65)…

Those Cheltenham festival non-handicap runners who finished third or worse at Prestbury Park didn’t fare so well…

** **

**Thursday races**

**1.45 – Boodles Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1)**

**Prep race**

Eight of the last ten winners prepped at Cheltenham, five in the Triumph Hurdle. Backing all 22 Triumph runners returned a profit of £4.36…

**Horse country of breeding**

Eight of the ten winners were French-bred, though backing all 39 qualifiers returned a loss of £3.64 at SP (+£2.73 at Betfair SP after 2% commission).

**Trainers**

Willie Mullins’ representatives recorded form figures of F112F1 (3-6) for a profit of £4.00.

 

**2.20 – William Hill Manifesto Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)**

**Trainers**

Paul Nicholls has a poor record, with all 17 of his runners tasting defeat (expected winners = 3.39)…

**Age**

Six-year-olds have a good recent record…

**Trainer nationality**

Irish trainers have over-performed…

**Days since last race**

Those who raced within the past 28 days returned a loss of 50% on turnover (at SP)…

Six of those started as favourite and all were beaten…

**Finishing position last time out**

Last time out winners are 0-21 in the past ten years…

 

**2.55 – Aintree Bowl Chase (Grade 1)**

**SP favourites**

The market leader won seven of the past ten renewals…

**Last time out winners**

**LTO winners were 0-8 (I was surprised that so few of the 74 runners were arriving at Aintree on the back of a victory)…**

 

**3.30 – Randox Foxhunters’ Open Hunters’ Chase **

**Running style**

Eight of the ten winners raced prominently, front-runners were 0-10 and only two winners (from 174 runners) were ridden patiently…

 

**4.05 – Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1)**

**Race classification last time out**

All ten winners prepped in another Grade 1 (nine of them at Cheltenham) and backing all 37 qualifiers returned a small profit at Betfair SP…

Last time out Grade 1 winners were four from four…

…though the prices were skinny.

 

**4.40 – Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase (Class 1)**

**Weight**

Eight of the last ten winners carried 10-10 or less…

**Weight rank**

Horses ranked one through to five in the weights had a poor record…

**Race class last time out**

Eight of the ten winners prepped in Class 2 or Class 3 company…

**Running style**

Three winners made all (+£12.00 to a £1 level stake at SP), five were prominent (49 qualifiers, -£4.00) while only two winners (from 88 runners) were ridden patiently (-£41.00)…

**Prep race**

Those who prepped in the Grand Annual at the Cheltenham festival were 0-39…

**Previous chase wins**

Seven of the last ten Red Rum winners had won just once over fences previous or were chase maidens..

…and backing all 36 qualifiers returned a profit of £22.00.

 

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