---
title: A Professional Punter Writes..... 'The Law Of Averages'
description: Alan Potts on the toss.
image: https://www.simonnott.co.uk/hubfs/IMG_1572.jpg
---

 12/5/25 8:09 AM

# A Professional Punter Writes..... 'The Law Of Averages'

[ Simon Nott ](https://www.simonnott.co.uk/blog-racing/author/simon-nott)

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*I love getting emails from professional punter Alan Potts, here's his latest, on 'The Law Of Averages'. *

*![IMG_1572](https://www.simonnott.co.uk/hs-fs/hubfs/IMG_1572.jpg?width=320&height=243&name=IMG_1572.jpg)*

If anybody ever brings this up, here's a current fact that should shut them up for good.

The Indian national cricket team has played twenty one day international games in the last two years. They have lost the toss in every single one of them.

That's the equivalent of backing twenty consecutive losing even money favourites. And it's a genuine one in a million chance.

Being a cynic, and having noted that Asian bookies take bets on the toss in these games, I wonder if there's a link between  most Indian cricket fans betting on India to win the toss, and the fact that they don't!

If you started with a £1 bet on the first game and doubled up after each loss, your stake for Match 21 would £1, 048, 576. Might have a bit of a struggle to get on!

Their next one day game starts at 8am our time tomorrow (Saturday), India v S Africa.

I'll let you know what happens!

Alan 

 I'm not sure that even Ben Keith would lay that even £1,048,576, but he is offering a pony matched bet!

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